Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Trevor Lawrence vs Tua TagovailoaWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Trevor Lawrence is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 19.9 PPG to Tua Tagovailoa's 11.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Trevor Lawrence is the better fantasy play this season.

Trevor Lawrence is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 19.9 PPG and 4,366 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Tua Tagovailoa (11.5 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Trevor Lawrence as the starter and Tua Tagovailoa as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBJacksonville Jaguars#5PPG LEADER

Trevor Lawrence

PPG

19.9

Games

Pass Yds

4,007

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

359

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 7

QBMiami Dolphins#35

Tua Tagovailoa

PPG

11.5

Games

Pass Yds

2,660

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Trevor Lawrence

Tua Tagovailoa

Head to Head

19.9 PPG11.5 PPG

17 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Trevor Lawrence: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #5 at the position). Tua Tagovailoa: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #35 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Trevor Lawrence is producing at 90% of elite pace and Tua Tagovailoa at 52%. That ranking gap means Trevor Lawrence carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Trevor Lawrence vs Tua Tagovailoa: The Full Breakdown

There is a real production gap between these two quarterbacks. Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) averaged 19.9 PPG over 17 games in 2025, outscoring Tua Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins, 11.5 PPG) by 8.4 points per week. That separation would need a significant matchup swing to overcome.

Trevor Lawrence carries a 8.4-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Trevor Lawrence threw for 4007 yards and 29 touchdowns, while Tua Tagovailoa posted 2660 yards and 20 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Trevor Lawrence is off Week 7 and Tua Tagovailoa Week 6. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Trevor Lawrence at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Tua Tagovailoa is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Trevor Lawrence (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Tua Tagovailoa (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Trevor Lawrence outscored Tua Tagovailoa by a projected 143 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Trevor Lawrence played 17 games in 2025 compared to Tua Tagovailoa's 14. That durability gap means Trevor Lawrence contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Trevor Lawrence scored 38 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Trevor Lawrence added 359 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Trevor Lawrence vs Tua Tagovailoa: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Trevor Lawrence	Tua Tagovailoa
PPG (Half-PPR)	19.9	11.5
Games Played	17	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	338	161
Passing Yards	4,007	2,660
Passing TDs	29	20
Pass Yds/Game	235.7	190.0
Rushing Yards	359	43
Rushing TDs	9	0
Total TDs	38	20
TDs/Game	2.2	1.4
Age	26	28
Experience	4 yrs	5 yrs
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Trevor Lawrence holds the PPG edge with strong output at 19.9 points per game. Tua Tagovailoa averaged 11.5 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Trevor Lawrence or Tua Tagovailoa in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Trevor Lawrence has the edge at 19.9 PPG compared to Tua Tagovailoa's 11.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Trevor Lawrence and Tua Tagovailoa average in 2025?▾

Trevor Lawrence averaged 19.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Tua Tagovailoa averaged 11.5 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 8.4 points per game.

When are Trevor Lawrence and Tua Tagovailoa's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Trevor Lawrence (JAX) has a bye in Week 7, and Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Trevor Lawrence or Tua Tagovailoa a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Trevor Lawrence outscored Tua Tagovailoa by 8.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.