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Head to Head

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Baker Mayfield vs Bo NixWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Bo Nix is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 17.9 PPG to Baker Mayfield's 16.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Bo Nix is the better fantasy play this season.

Bo Nix has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 1.9-PPG advantage is real (17.9 to 16.0), and Bo Nix's 30 touchdowns show scoring upside. Baker Mayfield is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#19
Baker Mayfield
PPG
16.0
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,693
Pass TDs
26
Rush Yds
382
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 10
QBDenver Broncos#11PPG LEADER
Bo Nix
PPG
17.9
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,931
Pass TDs
25
Rush Yds
356
Rush TDs
5
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Baker Mayfield
Bo Nix

Head to Head

16.0 PPG17.9 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Baker Mayfield: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #19 at the position). Bo Nix: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #11 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Baker Mayfield is producing at 73% of elite pace and Bo Nix at 81%. That ranking gap means Bo Nix carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Baker Mayfield vs Bo Nix: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) finished the 2025 season averaging 16.0 fantasy points per game in 17 games. Bo Nix (Denver Broncos) came in at 17.9 PPG over 17 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Bo Nix carries a 1.9-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Baker Mayfield threw for 3693 yards and 26 touchdowns, while Bo Nix posted 3931 yards and 25 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 10 bye. That means you need a backup plan at quarterback for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Baker Mayfield (age 31) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Bo Nix (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Bo Nix outscored Baker Mayfield by a projected 32 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Bo Nix scored 30 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Baker Mayfield added 382 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
  • Bo Nix is 5 years younger than Baker Mayfield (26 vs 31), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.
  • Both players share a Week 10 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Baker Mayfield vs Bo Nix: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatBaker MayfieldBo Nix
PPG (Half-PPR)16.017.9
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)272304
Passing Yards3,6933,931
Passing TDs2625
Pass Yds/Game217.2231.2
Rushing Yards382356
Rushing TDs15
Total TDs2730
TDs/Game1.61.8
Age3126
Experience7 yrs1 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 10

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Bo Nix holds the PPG edge with solid output at 17.9 points per game. Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Baker Mayfield or Bo Nix in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Bo Nix has the edge at 17.9 PPG compared to Baker Mayfield's 16.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Baker Mayfield and Bo Nix average in 2025?

Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Bo Nix averaged 17.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 1.9 points per game.

Do Baker Mayfield and Bo Nix share a bye week?

Yes, both Baker Mayfield and Bo Nix share a Week 10 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Baker Mayfield or Bo Nix a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Bo Nix outscored Baker Mayfield by 1.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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