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Head to Head

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Baker Mayfield vs Dak PrescottWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Dak Prescott is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 18.5 PPG to Baker Mayfield's 16.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Dak Prescott is the better fantasy play this season.

Dak Prescott has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 2.5-PPG advantage is real (18.5 to 16.0), and Dak Prescott's 32 touchdowns show scoring upside. Baker Mayfield is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#19
Baker Mayfield
PPG
16.0
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,693
Pass TDs
26
Rush Yds
382
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 10
QBDallas Cowboys#9PPG LEADER
Dak Prescott
PPG
18.5
Games
17
Pass Yds
4,552
Pass TDs
30
Rush Yds
177
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 14

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Baker Mayfield
Dak Prescott

Head to Head

16.0 PPG18.5 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Baker Mayfield: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #19 at the position). Dak Prescott: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #9 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Baker Mayfield is producing at 73% of elite pace and Dak Prescott at 84%. That ranking gap means Dak Prescott carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Baker Mayfield vs Dak Prescott: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) finished the 2025 season averaging 16.0 fantasy points per game in 17 games. Dak Prescott (Dallas Cowboys) came in at 18.5 PPG over 17 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Dak Prescott carries a 2.5-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Baker Mayfield threw for 3693 yards and 26 touchdowns, while Dak Prescott posted 4552 yards and 30 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Baker Mayfield is off Week 10 and Dak Prescott Week 14. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Baker Mayfield (age 31) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Dak Prescott (age 32) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

  • Dak Prescott outscored Baker Mayfield by a projected 43 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Dak Prescott scored 32 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.9 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Baker Mayfield added 382 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Baker Mayfield vs Dak Prescott: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatBaker MayfieldDak Prescott
PPG (Half-PPR)16.018.5
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)272315
Passing Yards3,6934,552
Passing TDs2630
Pass Yds/Game217.2267.8
Rushing Yards382177
Rushing TDs12
Total TDs2732
TDs/Game1.61.9
Age3132
Experience7 yrs9 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 14

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Dak Prescott holds the PPG edge with strong output at 18.5 points per game. Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Baker Mayfield or Dak Prescott in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Dak Prescott has the edge at 18.5 PPG compared to Baker Mayfield's 16.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Baker Mayfield and Dak Prescott average in 2025?

Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Dak Prescott averaged 18.5 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 2.5 points per game.

When are Baker Mayfield and Dak Prescott's bye weeks in 2026?

Baker Mayfield (TB) has a bye in Week 10, and Dak Prescott (DAL) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Baker Mayfield or Dak Prescott a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Dak Prescott outscored Baker Mayfield by 2.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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