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Head to Head

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Baker Mayfield vs Daniel JonesWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Daniel Jones is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 17.4 PPG to Baker Mayfield's 16.0 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Daniel Jones is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Daniel Jones edges Baker Mayfield by 1.4 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Daniel Jones goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#19
Baker Mayfield
PPG
16.0
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,693
Pass TDs
26
Rush Yds
382
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 10
QBIndianapolis Colts#13PPG LEADER
Daniel Jones
PPG
17.4
Games
13
Pass Yds
3,101
Pass TDs
19
Rush Yds
164
Rush TDs
5
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Baker Mayfield
Daniel Jones

Head to Head

16.0 PPG17.4 PPG
17 GP13 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Baker Mayfield: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #19 at the position). Daniel Jones: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #13 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Baker Mayfield is producing at 73% of elite pace and Daniel Jones at 79%. That ranking gap means Daniel Jones carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Baker Mayfield vs Daniel Jones: The Full Breakdown

Baker Mayfield (16.0 PPG) and Daniel Jones (17.4 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two quarterbacks are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Baker Mayfield played 17 games for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers; Daniel Jones suited up 13 times for the Indianapolis Colts.

A 1.4-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Baker Mayfield threw for 3693 yards and 26 touchdowns, while Daniel Jones posted 3101 yards and 19 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Baker Mayfield sits Week 10 while Daniel Jones is off Week 13. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Baker Mayfield (age 31) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Daniel Jones (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Daniel Jones outscored Baker Mayfield by a projected 24 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Baker Mayfield played 17 games in 2025 compared to Daniel Jones's 13. That durability gap means Baker Mayfield contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Baker Mayfield scored 27 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Baker Mayfield added 382 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Baker Mayfield vs Daniel Jones: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatBaker MayfieldDaniel Jones
PPG (Half-PPR)16.017.4
Games Played1713
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)272226
Passing Yards3,6933,101
Passing TDs2619
Pass Yds/Game217.2238.5
Rushing Yards382164
Rushing TDs15
Total TDs2724
TDs/Game1.61.8
Age3129
Experience7 yrs6 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 13

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Daniel Jones holds the PPG edge with solid output at 17.4 points per game. Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Baker Mayfield or Daniel Jones in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Daniel Jones has the edge at 17.4 PPG compared to Baker Mayfield's 16.0 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Baker Mayfield and Daniel Jones average in 2025?

Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Daniel Jones averaged 17.4 PPG over 13 games. That is a difference of 1.4 points per game.

When are Baker Mayfield and Daniel Jones's bye weeks in 2026?

Baker Mayfield (TB) has a bye in Week 10, and Daniel Jones (IND) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Baker Mayfield or Daniel Jones a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Daniel Jones outscored Baker Mayfield by 1.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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