Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Baker Mayfield vs Geno SmithWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Baker Mayfield is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 16.0 PPG to Geno Smith's 11.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Baker Mayfield is the better fantasy play this season.

Baker Mayfield has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 4.4-PPG advantage is real (16.0 to 11.6), and Baker Mayfield's 27 touchdowns show scoring upside. Geno Smith is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#19PPG LEADER

Baker Mayfield

PPG

16.0

Games

Pass Yds

3,693

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

382

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBLas Vegas Raiders#34

Geno Smith

PPG

11.6

Games

Pass Yds

3,025

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

109

Bye

Week 13

The Edge Chart

Baker Mayfield

Geno Smith

Head to Head

16.0 PPG11.6 PPG

17 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Baker Mayfield: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #19 at the position). Geno Smith: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #34 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Baker Mayfield is producing at 73% of elite pace and Geno Smith at 53%. That ranking gap means Baker Mayfield carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Baker Mayfield vs Geno Smith: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) finished the 2025 season averaging 16.0 fantasy points per game in 17 games. Geno Smith (Las Vegas Raiders) came in at 11.6 PPG over 15 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Baker Mayfield carries a 4.4-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Baker Mayfield threw for 3693 yards and 26 touchdowns, while Geno Smith posted 3025 yards and 19 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Baker Mayfield is off Week 10 and Geno Smith Week 13. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Baker Mayfield at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Geno Smith is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Baker Mayfield (age 31) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Geno Smith (age 35) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

•Baker Mayfield outscored Geno Smith by a projected 75 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Baker Mayfield played 17 games in 2025 compared to Geno Smith's 15. That durability gap means Baker Mayfield contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Baker Mayfield scored 27 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Baker Mayfield added 382 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
•Baker Mayfield is 4 years younger than Geno Smith (31 vs 35), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Baker Mayfield vs Geno Smith: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Baker Mayfield	Geno Smith
PPG (Half-PPR)	16.0	11.6
Games Played	17	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	272	174
Passing Yards	3,693	3,025
Passing TDs	26	19
Pass Yds/Game	217.2	201.7
Rushing Yards	382	109
Rushing TDs	1	0
Total TDs	27	19
TDs/Game	1.6	1.3
Age	31	35
Experience	7 yrs	12 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 13

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Baker Mayfield holds the PPG edge with solid output at 16.0 points per game. Geno Smith averaged 11.6 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Baker Mayfield or Geno Smith in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Baker Mayfield has the edge at 16.0 PPG compared to Geno Smith's 11.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Baker Mayfield and Geno Smith average in 2025?▾

Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Geno Smith averaged 11.6 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 4.4 points per game.

When are Baker Mayfield and Geno Smith's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Baker Mayfield (TB) has a bye in Week 10, and Geno Smith (LV) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Baker Mayfield or Geno Smith a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Baker Mayfield outscored Geno Smith by 4.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.