Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Baker Mayfield vs Kyler MurrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Baker Mayfield is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 16.0 PPG to Kyler Murray's 15.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Baker Mayfield is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.4-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#19PPG LEADER

Baker Mayfield

PPG

16.0

Games

Pass Yds

3,693

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

382

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBArizona Cardinals#22

Kyler Murray

PPG

15.6

Games

Pass Yds

962

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

173

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 14

The Edge Chart

Baker Mayfield

Kyler Murray

Head to Head

16.0 PPG15.6 PPG

17 GP5 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Baker Mayfield: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #19 at the position). Kyler Murray: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #22 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Baker Mayfield is producing at 73% of elite pace and Kyler Murray at 71%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Baker Mayfield vs Kyler Murray: The Full Breakdown

The gap between Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 0.4 PPG in 2025, this is one of those quarterback decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 PPG with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers across 17 games, and Kyler Murray posted 15.6 with the Arizona Cardinals in 5.

When two quarterbacks are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Baker Mayfield threw for 3693 yards and 26 touchdowns, while Kyler Murray posted 962 yards and 6 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Baker Mayfield has his bye in Week 10, and Kyler Murray rests in Week 14. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Baker Mayfield (age 31) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Kyler Murray (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Baker Mayfield outscored Kyler Murray by a projected 7 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Baker Mayfield played 17 games in 2025 compared to Kyler Murray's 5. That durability gap means Baker Mayfield contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Baker Mayfield scored 27 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Baker Mayfield added 382 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Baker Mayfield vs Kyler Murray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Baker Mayfield	Kyler Murray
PPG (Half-PPR)	16.0	15.6
Games Played	17	5
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	272	78
Passing Yards	3,693	962
Passing TDs	26	6
Pass Yds/Game	217.2	192.4
Rushing Yards	382	173
Rushing TDs	1	1
Total TDs	27	7
TDs/Game	1.6	1.4
Age	31	28
Experience	7 yrs	6 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 14

Summary

16.0 PPG for Baker Mayfield versus 15.6 for Kyler Murray in 2025. The baseline favors Baker Mayfield, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Baker Mayfield or Kyler Murray in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Baker Mayfield has the edge at 16.0 PPG compared to Kyler Murray's 15.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray average in 2025?▾

Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 PPG over 5 games. That is a difference of 0.4 points per game.

When are Baker Mayfield and Kyler Murray's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Baker Mayfield (TB) has a bye in Week 10, and Kyler Murray (ARI) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Baker Mayfield or Kyler Murray a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Baker Mayfield outscored Kyler Murray by 0.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.