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Head to Head

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Baker Mayfield vs Malik WillisWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Baker Mayfield is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 16.0 PPG to Malik Willis's 12.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Baker Mayfield is the better fantasy play this season.

Baker Mayfield has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.2-PPG advantage is real (16.0 to 12.8), and Baker Mayfield's 27 touchdowns show scoring upside. Malik Willis is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBTampa Bay Buccaneers#19PPG LEADER
Baker Mayfield
PPG
16.0
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,693
Pass TDs
26
Rush Yds
382
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 10
QBGreen Bay Packers#30
Malik Willis
PPG
12.8
Games
4
Pass Yds
422
Pass TDs
3
Rush Yds
123
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 11

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Baker Mayfield
Malik Willis

Head to Head

16.0 PPG12.8 PPG
17 GP4 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Baker Mayfield: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #19 at the position). Malik Willis: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #30 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Baker Mayfield is producing at 73% of elite pace and Malik Willis at 58%. That ranking gap means Baker Mayfield carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Baker Mayfield vs Malik Willis: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) finished the 2025 season averaging 16.0 fantasy points per game in 17 games. Malik Willis (Green Bay Packers) came in at 12.8 PPG over 4 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Baker Mayfield carries a 3.2-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Baker Mayfield threw for 3693 yards and 26 touchdowns, while Malik Willis posted 422 yards and 3 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Baker Mayfield sits Week 10 while Malik Willis is off Week 11. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Baker Mayfield at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Malik Willis is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Baker Mayfield (age 31) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year. Malik Willis (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Baker Mayfield outscored Malik Willis by a projected 54 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Baker Mayfield played 17 games in 2025 compared to Malik Willis's 4. That durability gap means Baker Mayfield contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Baker Mayfield scored 27 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.6 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Baker Mayfield added 382 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.
  • Malik Willis is 4 years younger than Baker Mayfield (27 vs 31), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Baker Mayfield vs Malik Willis: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatBaker MayfieldMalik Willis
PPG (Half-PPR)16.012.8
Games Played174
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)27251
Passing Yards3,693422
Passing TDs263
Pass Yds/Game217.2105.5
Rushing Yards382123
Rushing TDs12
Total TDs275
TDs/Game1.61.3
Age3127
Experience7 yrs3 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 11

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Baker Mayfield holds the PPG edge with solid output at 16.0 points per game. Malik Willis averaged 12.8 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Baker Mayfield or Malik Willis in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Baker Mayfield has the edge at 16.0 PPG compared to Malik Willis's 12.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Baker Mayfield and Malik Willis average in 2025?

Baker Mayfield averaged 16.0 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Malik Willis averaged 12.8 PPG over 4 games. That is a difference of 3.2 points per game.

When are Baker Mayfield and Malik Willis's bye weeks in 2026?

Baker Mayfield (TB) has a bye in Week 10, and Malik Willis (GB) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Baker Mayfield or Malik Willis a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Baker Mayfield outscored Malik Willis by 3.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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