Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Bo Nix vs Davis MillsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Bo Nix is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 17.9 PPG to Davis Mills's 11.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Bo Nix is the better fantasy play this season.

Bo Nix is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 17.9 PPG and 4,287 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Davis Mills (11.4 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Bo Nix as the starter and Davis Mills as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

Want this verdict updated live on Sunday?

Track Bo Nix and Davis Mills in the DraftCall app and get their updates the moment they change.

Get the App

QBDenver Broncos#11PPG LEADER

Bo Nix

PPG

17.9

Games

Pass Yds

3,931

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

356

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 10

QBHouston Texans#36

Davis Mills

PPG

11.4

Games

Pass Yds

915

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Bo Nix

Davis Mills

Head to Head

17.9 PPG11.4 PPG

17 GP6 GP

Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Bo Nix: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #11 at the position). Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Bo Nix is producing at 81% of elite pace and Davis Mills at 52%. That ranking gap means Bo Nix carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Bo Nix vs Davis Mills: The Full Breakdown

The numbers tell a clear story here. Bo Nix put up 17.9 fantasy points per game for the Denver Broncos in 2025, while Davis Mills managed 11.4 across 6 games with the Houston Texans. A 6.5-point weekly edge is substantial at the quarterback position.

A 6.5-PPG gap gives Bo Nix the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Bo Nix threw for 3931 yards and 25 touchdowns, while Davis Mills posted 915 yards and 5 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Bo Nix sits Week 10 while Davis Mills is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Bo Nix at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Davis Mills is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Bo Nix (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Bo Nix outscored Davis Mills by a projected 110 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Bo Nix played 17 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Bo Nix contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Bo Nix scored 30 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Bo Nix added 356 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Bo Nix vs Davis Mills: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Bo Nix	Davis Mills
PPG (Half-PPR)	17.9	11.4
Games Played	17	6
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	304	68
Passing Yards	3,931	915
Passing TDs	25	5
Pass Yds/Game	231.2	152.5
Rushing Yards	356	60
Rushing TDs	5	1
Total TDs	30	6
TDs/Game	1.8	1.0
Age	26	27
Experience	1 yrs	4 yrs
Bye Week	Week 10	Week 8

Summary

Bo Nix outscored Davis Mills by 6.5 PPG in 2025 (17.9 to 11.4). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

Website vs App

Get the AI verdict on Bo Nix vs Davis Mills

DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality, recent trends, injury impact, and game script to give you a clear start/sit recommendation.

See everything in the app →

Launch List

Get the live verdict on Bo Nix vs Davis Mills

The DraftCall app delivers live game-day verdicts on every matchup. Join the launch list and we will email you the day it goes live for the 2026 NFL season, with your direct iOS and Android install links.

We will never share your email. Unsubscribe anytime.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Bo Nix or Davis Mills in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Bo Nix has the edge at 17.9 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Bo Nix and Davis Mills average in 2025?▾

Bo Nix averaged 17.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Davis Mills averaged 11.4 PPG over 6 games. That is a difference of 6.5 points per game.

When are Bo Nix and Davis Mills's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Bo Nix (DEN) has a bye in Week 10, and Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Bo Nix or Davis Mills a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Bo Nix outscored Davis Mills by 6.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.