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Head to Head

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Bo Nix vs Kyler MurrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Bo Nix is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 17.9 PPG to Kyler Murray's 15.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Bo Nix is the better fantasy play this season.

Bo Nix is the better play on a neutral week. 17.9 PPG with 4,287 yards gives a reliable baseline. Kyler Murray at 15.6 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Bo Nix higher, but do not fade Kyler Murray entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBDenver Broncos#11PPG LEADER
Bo Nix
PPG
17.9
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,931
Pass TDs
25
Rush Yds
356
Rush TDs
5
Bye
Week 10
QBArizona Cardinals#22
Kyler Murray
PPG
15.6
Games
5
Pass Yds
962
Pass TDs
6
Rush Yds
173
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 14

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Bo Nix
Kyler Murray

Head to Head

17.9 PPG15.6 PPG
17 GP5 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Bo Nix: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #11 at the position). Kyler Murray: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #22 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Bo Nix is producing at 81% of elite pace and Kyler Murray at 71%. That ranking gap means Bo Nix carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Bo Nix vs Kyler Murray: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Bo Nix and Kyler Murray for your lineup, you are not alone. Bo Nix finished the 2025 season at 17.9 PPG for the Denver Broncos (17 games), and Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 for the Arizona Cardinals (5 games).

That 2.3-point weekly advantage for Bo Nix is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Bo Nix threw for 3931 yards and 25 touchdowns, while Kyler Murray posted 962 yards and 6 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Bo Nix sits Week 10 while Kyler Murray is off Week 14. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Bo Nix (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Kyler Murray (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Bo Nix outscored Kyler Murray by a projected 39 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Bo Nix played 17 games in 2025 compared to Kyler Murray's 5. That durability gap means Bo Nix contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Bo Nix scored 30 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Bo Nix added 356 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Bo Nix vs Kyler Murray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatBo NixKyler Murray
PPG (Half-PPR)17.915.6
Games Played175
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)30478
Passing Yards3,931962
Passing TDs256
Pass Yds/Game231.2192.4
Rushing Yards356173
Rushing TDs51
Total TDs307
TDs/Game1.81.4
Age2628
Experience1 yrs6 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 14

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Bo Nix at 17.9 PPG, 2.3 points per game above Kyler Murray's 15.6. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Bo Nix or Kyler Murray in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Bo Nix has the edge at 17.9 PPG compared to Kyler Murray's 15.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Bo Nix and Kyler Murray average in 2025?

Bo Nix averaged 17.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 PPG over 5 games. That is a difference of 2.3 points per game.

When are Bo Nix and Kyler Murray's bye weeks in 2026?

Bo Nix (DEN) has a bye in Week 10, and Kyler Murray (ARI) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Bo Nix or Kyler Murray a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Bo Nix outscored Kyler Murray by 2.3 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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