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Head to Head

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Bo Nix vs Lamar JacksonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Bo Nix is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 17.9 PPG to Lamar Jackson's 16.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Bo Nix is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Bo Nix edges Lamar Jackson by 1.4 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Bo Nix goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBDenver Broncos#11PPG LEADER
Bo Nix
PPG
17.9
Games
17
Pass Yds
3,931
Pass TDs
25
Rush Yds
356
Rush TDs
5
Bye
Week 10
QBBaltimore Ravens#16
Lamar Jackson
PPG
16.5
Games
13
Pass Yds
2,549
Pass TDs
21
Rush Yds
349
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Bo Nix
Lamar Jackson

Head to Head

17.9 PPG16.5 PPG
17 GP13 GP
Bye: Week 10Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Bo Nix: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #11 at the position). Lamar Jackson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #16 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Bo Nix is producing at 81% of elite pace and Lamar Jackson at 75%. That ranking gap means Bo Nix carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Bo Nix vs Lamar Jackson: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Bo Nix finished the 2025 season at 17.9 PPG over 17 games with the Denver Broncos, while Lamar Jackson clocked in at 16.5 across 13 appearances for the Baltimore Ravens. A 1.4-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Bo Nix threw for 3931 yards and 25 touchdowns, while Lamar Jackson posted 2549 yards and 21 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Bo Nix is off Week 10 and Lamar Jackson Week 13. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Bo Nix (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Lamar Jackson (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Bo Nix outscored Lamar Jackson by a projected 24 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Bo Nix played 17 games in 2025 compared to Lamar Jackson's 13. That durability gap means Bo Nix contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Bo Nix scored 30 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Bo Nix added 356 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Bo Nix vs Lamar Jackson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatBo NixLamar Jackson
PPG (Half-PPR)17.916.5
Games Played1713
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)304215
Passing Yards3,9312,549
Passing TDs2521
Pass Yds/Game231.2196.1
Rushing Yards356349
Rushing TDs52
Total TDs3023
TDs/Game1.81.8
Age2629
Experience1 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 10Week 13

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Bo Nix holds the PPG edge with solid output at 17.9 points per game. Lamar Jackson averaged 16.5 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Bo Nix or Lamar Jackson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Bo Nix has the edge at 17.9 PPG compared to Lamar Jackson's 16.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Bo Nix and Lamar Jackson average in 2025?

Bo Nix averaged 17.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Lamar Jackson averaged 16.5 PPG over 13 games. That is a difference of 1.4 points per game.

When are Bo Nix and Lamar Jackson's bye weeks in 2026?

Bo Nix (DEN) has a bye in Week 10, and Lamar Jackson (BAL) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Bo Nix or Lamar Jackson a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Bo Nix outscored Lamar Jackson by 1.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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