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Davis Mills vs Geno Smith

Fantasy Football Comparison for the 2026 NFL Season

QBHouston Texans
Davis Mills
PPG
11.6
Games
6
Pass Yds
915
Pass TDs
5
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 14
QBNew York JetsPPG LEADER
Geno Smith
PPG
12.7
Games
15
Pass Yds
3,025
Pass TDs
19
Rush Yds
109
Bye
Week 12

Head to Head

11.6 PPG12.7 PPG
6 GP15 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 12

Davis Mills vs Geno Smith: Who Should You Start?

Davis Mills (11.6 PPG) and Geno Smith (12.7 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two quarterbacks are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Davis Mills played 6 games for the Houston Texans; Geno Smith suited up 15 times for the New York Jets.

A 1.1-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Davis Mills threw for 915 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Geno Smith posted 3025 yards and 19 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Davis Mills sits Week 14 while Geno Smith is off Week 12. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

The Bottom Line

Geno Smith outscored Davis Mills by 1.1 PPG in 2025 (12.7 to 11.6). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Geno Smith in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Geno Smith has the edge at 12.7 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Geno Smith average in 2025?

Davis Mills averaged 11.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Geno Smith averaged 12.7 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 1.1 points per game.

When are Davis Mills and Geno Smith's bye weeks in 2026?

Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 14, and Geno Smith (NYJ) has a bye in Week 12. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Davis Mills or Geno Smith a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Geno Smith outscored Davis Mills by 1.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.