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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Davis Mills vs Jayden DanielsWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jayden Daniels is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 16.3 PPG to Davis Mills's 11.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jayden Daniels is the better fantasy play this season.

Jayden Daniels is the better play on a neutral week. 16.3 PPG with 1,540 yards gives a reliable baseline. Davis Mills at 11.4 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Jayden Daniels higher, but do not fade Davis Mills entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBHouston Texans#36
Davis Mills
PPG
11.4
Games
6
Pass Yds
915
Pass TDs
5
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 8
QBWashington Commanders#17PPG LEADER
Jayden Daniels
PPG
16.3
Games
7
Pass Yds
1,262
Pass TDs
8
Rush Yds
278
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 7

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Davis Mills
Jayden Daniels

Head to Head

11.4 PPG16.3 PPG
6 GP7 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Jayden Daniels: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #17 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Jayden Daniels at 74%. That ranking gap means Jayden Daniels carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Davis Mills vs Jayden Daniels: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Davis Mills and Jayden Daniels for your lineup, you are not alone. Davis Mills finished the 2025 season at 11.4 PPG for the Houston Texans (6 games), and Jayden Daniels averaged 16.3 for the Washington Commanders (7 games).

That 4.9-point weekly advantage for Jayden Daniels is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Davis Mills threw for 915 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jayden Daniels posted 1262 yards and 8 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Davis Mills has his bye in Week 8, and Jayden Daniels rests in Week 7. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Jayden Daniels is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Davis Mills is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Jayden Daniels (age 25) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising.

Did You Know?

  • Jayden Daniels outscored Davis Mills by a projected 83 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jayden Daniels played 7 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Jayden Daniels contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Jayden Daniels scored 10 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Davis Mills vs Jayden Daniels: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDavis MillsJayden Daniels
PPG (Half-PPR)11.416.3
Games Played67
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)68114
Passing Yards9151,262
Passing TDs58
Pass Yds/Game152.5180.3
Rushing Yards60278
Rushing TDs12
Total TDs610
TDs/Game1.01.4
Age2725
Experience4 yrs1 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 7

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Jayden Daniels at 16.3 PPG, 4.9 points per game above Davis Mills's 11.4. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Jayden Daniels in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Jayden Daniels has the edge at 16.3 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Jayden Daniels average in 2025?

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Jayden Daniels averaged 16.3 PPG over 7 games. That is a difference of 4.9 points per game.

When are Davis Mills and Jayden Daniels's bye weeks in 2026?

Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Jayden Daniels (WAS) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Davis Mills or Jayden Daniels a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Jayden Daniels outscored Davis Mills by 4.9 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.