Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Davis Mills vs Jared GoffWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jared Goff is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 17.5 PPG to Davis Mills's 11.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jared Goff is the better fantasy play this season.

Jared Goff is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 17.5 PPG and 4,609 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Davis Mills (11.4 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Jared Goff as the starter and Davis Mills as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBHouston Texans#36

Davis Mills

PPG

11.4

Games

Pass Yds

915

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

QBDetroit Lions#12PPG LEADER

Jared Goff

PPG

17.5

Games

Pass Yds

4,564

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Davis Mills

Jared Goff

Head to Head

11.4 PPG17.5 PPG

6 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Jared Goff: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #12 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Jared Goff at 80%. That ranking gap means Jared Goff carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Davis Mills vs Jared Goff: The Full Breakdown

There is a real production gap between these two quarterbacks. Jared Goff (Detroit Lions) averaged 17.5 PPG over 17 games in 2025, outscoring Davis Mills (Houston Texans, 11.4 PPG) by 6.1 points per week. That separation would need a significant matchup swing to overcome.

A 6.1-PPG gap gives Jared Goff the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Davis Mills threw for 915 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jared Goff posted 4564 yards and 34 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Davis Mills is off Week 8 and Jared Goff Week 6. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Jared Goff at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Davis Mills is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Jared Goff (age 31) is on the back end of his prime. Strong now, but dynasty value declines year over year.

Did You Know?

•Jared Goff outscored Davis Mills by a projected 104 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Jared Goff played 17 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Jared Goff contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Jared Goff scored 34 total touchdowns in 2025 (2.0 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Davis Mills is 4 years younger than Jared Goff (27 vs 31), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Davis Mills vs Jared Goff: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Davis Mills	Jared Goff
PPG (Half-PPR)	11.4	17.5
Games Played	6	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	68	298
Passing Yards	915	4,564
Passing TDs	5	34
Pass Yds/Game	152.5	268.5
Rushing Yards	60	45
Rushing TDs	1	0
Total TDs	6	34
TDs/Game	1.0	2.0
Age	27	31
Experience	4 yrs	9 yrs
Bye Week	Week 8	Week 6

Summary

Jared Goff outscored Davis Mills by 6.1 PPG in 2025 (17.5 to 11.4). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Jared Goff in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Jared Goff has the edge at 17.5 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Jared Goff average in 2025?▾

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Jared Goff averaged 17.5 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 6.1 points per game.

When are Davis Mills and Jared Goff's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Jared Goff (DET) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Davis Mills or Jared Goff a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Jared Goff outscored Davis Mills by 6.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.