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Head to Head

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Davis Mills vs Jameis WinstonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Davis Mills is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.4 PPG to Jameis Winston's 10.9 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Davis Mills is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Davis Mills and Jameis Winston are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.5-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBHouston Texans#36PPG LEADER
Davis Mills
PPG
11.4
Games
6
Pass Yds
915
Pass TDs
5
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 8
QBCleveland Browns#99
Jameis Winston
PPG
10.9
Games
10
Pass Yds
2,125
Pass TDs
13
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 10

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Davis Mills
Jameis Winston

Head to Head

11.4 PPG10.9 PPG
6 GP10 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Jameis Winston: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Jameis Winston at 50%. That ranking gap means Davis Mills carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Davis Mills vs Jameis Winston: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Davis Mills finished the 2025 season at 11.4 PPG over 6 games with the Houston Texans, while Jameis Winston clocked in at 10.9 across 10 appearances for the Cleveland Browns. A 0.5-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Davis Mills threw for 915 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jameis Winston posted 2125 yards and 13 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Davis Mills is off Week 8 and Jameis Winston Week 10. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Jameis Winston (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Davis Mills outscored Jameis Winston by a projected 9 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jameis Winston played 10 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Jameis Winston contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Jameis Winston scored 14 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Davis Mills vs Jameis Winston: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDavis MillsJameis Winston
PPG (Half-PPR)11.410.9
Games Played610
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)68109
Passing Yards9152,125
Passing TDs513
Pass Yds/Game152.5212.5
Rushing Yards6045
Rushing TDs11
Total TDs614
TDs/Game1.01.4
Age27-
Experience4 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 10

Summary

11.4 PPG for Davis Mills versus 10.9 for Jameis Winston in 2025. The baseline favors Davis Mills, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Jameis Winston in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Davis Mills has the edge at 11.4 PPG compared to Jameis Winston's 10.9 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Jameis Winston average in 2025?

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Jameis Winston averaged 10.9 PPG over 10 games. That is a difference of 0.5 points per game.

When are Davis Mills and Jameis Winston's bye weeks in 2026?

Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Jameis Winston (CLE) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Davis Mills or Jameis Winston a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Davis Mills outscored Jameis Winston by 0.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.