Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Davis Mills vs Kyler MurrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Kyler Murray is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 15.6 PPG to Davis Mills's 11.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Kyler Murray is the better fantasy play this season.

Kyler Murray is the better play on a neutral week. 15.6 PPG with 1,135 yards gives a reliable baseline. Davis Mills at 11.4 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Kyler Murray higher, but do not fade Davis Mills entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBHouston Texans#36

Davis Mills

PPG

11.4

Games

Pass Yds

915

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

QBArizona Cardinals#22PPG LEADER

Kyler Murray

PPG

15.6

Games

Pass Yds

962

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

173

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 14

The Edge Chart

Davis Mills

Kyler Murray

Head to Head

11.4 PPG15.6 PPG

6 GP5 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 14

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Kyler Murray: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #22 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Kyler Murray at 71%. That ranking gap means Kyler Murray carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Davis Mills vs Kyler Murray: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Davis Mills and Kyler Murray for your lineup, you are not alone. Davis Mills finished the 2025 season at 11.4 PPG for the Houston Texans (6 games), and Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 for the Arizona Cardinals (5 games).

That 4.2-point weekly advantage for Kyler Murray is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Davis Mills threw for 915 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Kyler Murray posted 962 yards and 6 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Davis Mills sits Week 8 while Kyler Murray is off Week 14. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Kyler Murray is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Davis Mills is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Kyler Murray (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Kyler Murray outscored Davis Mills by a projected 71 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Davis Mills played 6 games in 2025 compared to Kyler Murray's 5. That durability gap means Davis Mills contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Kyler Murray scored 7 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Davis Mills vs Kyler Murray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Davis Mills	Kyler Murray
PPG (Half-PPR)	11.4	15.6
Games Played	6	5
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	68	78
Passing Yards	915	962
Passing TDs	5	6
Pass Yds/Game	152.5	192.4
Rushing Yards	60	173
Rushing TDs	1	1
Total TDs	6	7
TDs/Game	1.0	1.4
Age	27	28
Experience	4 yrs	6 yrs
Bye Week	Week 8	Week 14

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Kyler Murray at 15.6 PPG, 4.2 points per game above Davis Mills's 11.4. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Kyler Murray in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Kyler Murray has the edge at 15.6 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Kyler Murray average in 2025?▾

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 PPG over 5 games. That is a difference of 4.2 points per game.

When are Davis Mills and Kyler Murray's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Kyler Murray (ARI) has a bye in Week 14. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Davis Mills or Kyler Murray a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Kyler Murray outscored Davis Mills by 4.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.