Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Davis Mills vs Lamar JacksonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Lamar Jackson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 16.5 PPG to Davis Mills's 11.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Lamar Jackson is the better fantasy play this season.

Lamar Jackson is clearly the better fantasy option heading into 2026. With 16.5 PPG and 2,898 total yards in 2025, the production separation is too wide to overcome on matchup alone. Davis Mills (11.4 PPG) is a hold, not a sell, but roster Lamar Jackson as the starter and Davis Mills as depth.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBHouston Texans#36

Davis Mills

PPG

11.4

Games

Pass Yds

915

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

QBBaltimore Ravens#16PPG LEADER

Lamar Jackson

PPG

16.5

Games

Pass Yds

2,549

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

349

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 13

The Edge Chart

Davis Mills

Lamar Jackson

Head to Head

11.4 PPG16.5 PPG

6 GP13 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Lamar Jackson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #16 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Lamar Jackson at 75%. That ranking gap means Lamar Jackson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Davis Mills vs Lamar Jackson: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Davis Mills (Houston Texans) finished the 2025 season averaging 11.4 fantasy points per game in 6 games. Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) came in at 16.5 PPG over 13 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Lamar Jackson carries a 5.1-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Davis Mills threw for 915 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Lamar Jackson posted 2549 yards and 21 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Davis Mills is off Week 8 and Lamar Jackson Week 13. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Lamar Jackson at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Davis Mills is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Lamar Jackson (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Lamar Jackson outscored Davis Mills by a projected 87 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Lamar Jackson played 13 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Lamar Jackson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Lamar Jackson scored 23 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Lamar Jackson added 349 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Davis Mills vs Lamar Jackson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Davis Mills	Lamar Jackson
PPG (Half-PPR)	11.4	16.5
Games Played	6	13
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	68	215
Passing Yards	915	2,549
Passing TDs	5	21
Pass Yds/Game	152.5	196.1
Rushing Yards	60	349
Rushing TDs	1	2
Total TDs	6	23
TDs/Game	1.0	1.8
Age	27	29
Experience	4 yrs	7 yrs
Bye Week	Week 8	Week 13

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Lamar Jackson holds the PPG edge with solid output at 16.5 points per game. Davis Mills averaged 11.4 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Lamar Jackson in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Lamar Jackson has the edge at 16.5 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Lamar Jackson average in 2025?▾

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Lamar Jackson averaged 16.5 PPG over 13 games. That is a difference of 5.1 points per game.

When are Davis Mills and Lamar Jackson's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Lamar Jackson (BAL) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Davis Mills or Lamar Jackson a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Lamar Jackson outscored Davis Mills by 5.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.