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Head to Head

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Davis Mills vs Malik WillisWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Malik Willis is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 12.8 PPG to Davis Mills's 11.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Malik Willis is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Malik Willis edges Davis Mills by 1.4 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Malik Willis goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBHouston Texans#36
Davis Mills
PPG
11.4
Games
6
Pass Yds
915
Pass TDs
5
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 8
QBGreen Bay Packers#30PPG LEADER
Malik Willis
PPG
12.8
Games
4
Pass Yds
422
Pass TDs
3
Rush Yds
123
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 11

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Davis Mills
Malik Willis

Head to Head

11.4 PPG12.8 PPG
6 GP4 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Malik Willis: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #30 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Malik Willis at 58%. That ranking gap means Malik Willis carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Davis Mills vs Malik Willis: The Full Breakdown

The gap between Davis Mills and Malik Willis is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 1.4 PPG in 2025, this is one of those quarterback decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. Davis Mills averaged 11.4 PPG with the Houston Texans across 6 games, and Malik Willis posted 12.8 with the Green Bay Packers in 4.

When two quarterbacks are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Davis Mills threw for 915 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Malik Willis posted 422 yards and 3 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Davis Mills has his bye in Week 8, and Malik Willis rests in Week 11. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Malik Willis (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Malik Willis outscored Davis Mills by a projected 24 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Davis Mills played 6 games in 2025 compared to Malik Willis's 4. That durability gap means Davis Mills contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Davis Mills scored 6 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.0 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Davis Mills vs Malik Willis: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDavis MillsMalik Willis
PPG (Half-PPR)11.412.8
Games Played64
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)6851
Passing Yards915422
Passing TDs53
Pass Yds/Game152.5105.5
Rushing Yards60123
Rushing TDs12
Total TDs65
TDs/Game1.01.3
Age2727
Experience4 yrs3 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 11

Summary

Malik Willis outscored Davis Mills by 1.4 PPG in 2025 (12.8 to 11.4). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Malik Willis in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Malik Willis has the edge at 12.8 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Malik Willis average in 2025?

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Malik Willis averaged 12.8 PPG over 4 games. That is a difference of 1.4 points per game.

When are Davis Mills and Malik Willis's bye weeks in 2026?

Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Malik Willis (GB) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Davis Mills or Malik Willis a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Malik Willis outscored Davis Mills by 1.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.