Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Davis Mills vs Michael Penix Jr.Who should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Michael Penix Jr. is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 13.4 PPG to Davis Mills's 11.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Michael Penix Jr. is the better fantasy play this season.

Michael Penix Jr. is the better play on a neutral week. 13.4 PPG with 2,052 yards gives a reliable baseline. Davis Mills at 11.4 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Michael Penix Jr. higher, but do not fade Davis Mills entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBHouston Texans#36

Davis Mills

PPG

11.4

Games

Pass Yds

915

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

QBAtlanta Falcons#29PPG LEADER

Michael Penix Jr.

PPG

13.4

Games

Pass Yds

1,982

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 11

The Edge Chart

Davis Mills

Michael Penix Jr.

Head to Head

11.4 PPG13.4 PPG

6 GP9 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Michael Penix Jr.: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #29 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Michael Penix Jr. at 61%. That ranking gap means Michael Penix Jr. carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Davis Mills vs Michael Penix Jr.: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Davis Mills and Michael Penix Jr. for your lineup, you are not alone. Davis Mills finished the 2025 season at 11.4 PPG for the Houston Texans (6 games), and Michael Penix Jr. averaged 13.4 for the Atlanta Falcons (9 games).

That 2.0-point weekly advantage for Michael Penix Jr. is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Davis Mills threw for 915 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Michael Penix Jr. posted 1982 yards and 9 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Davis Mills sits Week 8 while Michael Penix Jr. is off Week 11. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Michael Penix Jr. (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Michael Penix Jr. outscored Davis Mills by a projected 34 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Michael Penix Jr. contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Michael Penix Jr. scored 10 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.1 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Davis Mills vs Michael Penix Jr.: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Davis Mills	Michael Penix Jr.
PPG (Half-PPR)	11.4	13.4
Games Played	6	9
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	68	121
Passing Yards	915	1,982
Passing TDs	5	9
Pass Yds/Game	152.5	220.2
Rushing Yards	60	70
Rushing TDs	1	1
Total TDs	6	10
TDs/Game	1.0	1.1
Age	27	26
Experience	4 yrs	1 yrs
Bye Week	Week 8	Week 11

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Michael Penix Jr. at 13.4 PPG, 2.0 points per game above Davis Mills's 11.4. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Michael Penix Jr. in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Michael Penix Jr. has the edge at 13.4 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Michael Penix Jr. average in 2025?▾

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Michael Penix Jr. averaged 13.4 PPG over 9 games. That is a difference of 2.0 points per game.

When are Davis Mills and Michael Penix Jr.'s bye weeks in 2026?▾

Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Michael Penix Jr. (ATL) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Davis Mills or Michael Penix Jr. a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Michael Penix Jr. outscored Davis Mills by 2.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.