Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Davis Mills vs Tyler ShoughWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tyler Shough is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 14.4 PPG to Davis Mills's 11.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tyler Shough is the better fantasy play this season.

Tyler Shough has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.0-PPG advantage is real (14.4 to 11.4), and Tyler Shough's 13 touchdowns show scoring upside. Davis Mills is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBHouston Texans#36

Davis Mills

PPG

11.4

Games

Pass Yds

915

Pass TDs

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

QBNew Orleans Saints#24PPG LEADER

Tyler Shough

PPG

14.4

Games

Pass Yds

2,384

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

186

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Davis Mills

Tyler Shough

Head to Head

11.4 PPG14.4 PPG

6 GP11 GP

Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Tyler Shough: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #24 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Tyler Shough at 65%. That ranking gap means Tyler Shough carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Davis Mills vs Tyler Shough: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Davis Mills (Houston Texans) finished the 2025 season averaging 11.4 fantasy points per game in 6 games. Tyler Shough (New Orleans Saints) came in at 14.4 PPG over 11 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Tyler Shough carries a 3.0-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Davis Mills threw for 915 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Tyler Shough posted 2384 yards and 10 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 8 bye. That means you need a backup plan at quarterback for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Tyler Shough at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Davis Mills is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Tyler Shough (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Tyler Shough outscored Davis Mills by a projected 51 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Tyler Shough played 11 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Tyler Shough contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Tyler Shough scored 13 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Both players share a Week 8 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Davis Mills vs Tyler Shough: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Davis Mills	Tyler Shough
PPG (Half-PPR)	11.4	14.4
Games Played	6	11
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	68	158
Passing Yards	915	2,384
Passing TDs	5	10
Pass Yds/Game	152.5	216.7
Rushing Yards	60	186
Rushing TDs	1	3
Total TDs	6	13
TDs/Game	1.0	1.2
Age	27	26
Experience	4 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 8	Week 8

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Tyler Shough holds the PPG edge with solid output at 14.4 points per game. Davis Mills averaged 11.4 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Tyler Shough in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Tyler Shough has the edge at 14.4 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Tyler Shough average in 2025?▾

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Tyler Shough averaged 14.4 PPG over 11 games. That is a difference of 3.0 points per game.

Do Davis Mills and Tyler Shough share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Davis Mills and Tyler Shough share a Week 8 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Davis Mills or Tyler Shough a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Tyler Shough outscored Davis Mills by 3.0 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.