Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Hayden Hurst vs Luke MusgraveWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Luke Musgrave is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 4.8 PPG to Hayden Hurst's 3.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Luke Musgrave is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Luke Musgrave edges Hayden Hurst by 1.1 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Luke Musgrave goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TELos Angeles Chargers#99

Hayden Hurst

PPG

3.7

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

238

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 5

TEGreen Bay Packers#99PPG LEADER

Luke Musgrave

PPG

4.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

335

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 10

The Edge Chart

Hayden Hurst

Luke Musgrave

Head to Head

3.7 PPG4.8 PPG

14 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 5Bye: Week 10

Fantasy Tiers

Hayden Hurst: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Luke Musgrave: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Hayden Hurst is producing at 17% of elite pace and Luke Musgrave at 22%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Hayden Hurst vs Luke Musgrave: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Hayden Hurst finished the 2025 season at 3.7 PPG over 14 games with the Los Angeles Chargers, while Luke Musgrave clocked in at 4.8 across 14 appearances for the Green Bay Packers. A 1.1-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Hayden Hurst had 25 catches for 238 yards; Luke Musgrave posted 30 for 335. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

One scheduling note: Hayden Hurst is off Week 5 and Luke Musgrave Week 10. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in tight end for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Hayden Hurst (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Luke Musgrave (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Luke Musgrave outscored Hayden Hurst by a projected 19 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Luke Musgrave scored 2 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.1 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Luke Musgrave saw 42 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Hayden Hurst vs Luke Musgrave: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Hayden Hurst	Luke Musgrave
PPG (Half-PPR)	3.7	4.8
Games Played	14	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	52	67
Receptions	25	30
Rec/Game	1.8	2.1
Receiving Yards	238	335
Rec Yds/Game	17.0	23.9
Receiving TDs	1	2
Targets	35	42
Target Share/Game	2.5	3.0
Bye Week	Week 5	Week 10

Summary

Luke Musgrave outscored Hayden Hurst by 1.1 PPG in 2025 (4.8 to 3.7). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Hayden Hurst or Luke Musgrave in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Luke Musgrave has the edge at 4.8 PPG compared to Hayden Hurst's 3.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Hayden Hurst and Luke Musgrave average in 2025?▾

Hayden Hurst averaged 3.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Luke Musgrave averaged 4.8 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 1.1 points per game.

When are Hayden Hurst and Luke Musgrave's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Hayden Hurst (LAC) has a bye in Week 5, and Luke Musgrave (GB) has a bye in Week 10. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Hayden Hurst or Luke Musgrave a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Luke Musgrave outscored Hayden Hurst by 1.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.