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Head to Head

Updated September 8, 2026 from live stats

Hayden Hurst or Terrance FergusonWho should you draft or start in 2026 fantasy football?

DraftCall Analytics

It is nearly a coin flip, but lean Hayden Hurst over Terrance Ferguson in 2026.

Hayden Hurst (3.7 PPG) and Terrance Ferguson (3.3) finished 2025 separated by under a point per game. Both play tight ends, so that per-game gap is the cleanest tiebreaker for a 2026 start or sit.

The Bottom Line

This one is genuinely close. Hayden Hurst edges Terrance Ferguson by 0.4 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Hayden Hurst goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TELos Angeles ChargersPPG LEADER

Hayden Hurst

PPG

3.7

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

238

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 5

TELos Angeles Rams

Terrance Ferguson

PPG

3.3

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

231

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Hayden Hurst

Terrance Ferguson

Head to Head

3.7 PPG3.3 PPG

14 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 5Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Hayden Hurst: Unranked TE. Terrance Ferguson: Unranked TE. Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Hayden Hurst is producing at 17% of elite pace and Terrance Ferguson at 15%. Their per-game production is close enough that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Hayden Hurst vs Terrance Ferguson: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Hayden Hurst finished the 2025 season at 3.7 PPG over 14 games with the Los Angeles Chargers, while Terrance Ferguson clocked in at 3.3 across 14 appearances for the Los Angeles Rams. A 0.4-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Hayden Hurst had 25 catches for 238 yards; Terrance Ferguson posted 11 for 231. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

One scheduling note: Hayden Hurst is off Week 5 and Terrance Ferguson Week 6. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in tight end for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Hayden Hurst (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Terrance Ferguson (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

•Hayden Hurst outscored Terrance Ferguson by a projected 7 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Terrance Ferguson scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Hayden Hurst saw 35 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Hayden Hurst vs Terrance Ferguson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Hayden Hurst	Terrance Ferguson
PPG (Half-PPR)	3.7	3.3
Games Played	14	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	52	46
Receptions	25	11
Rec/Game	1.8	0.8
Receiving Yards	238	231
Rec Yds/Game	17.0	16.5
Receiving TDs	1	3
Targets	35	25
Target Share/Game	2.5	1.8
Age	-	23
Experience	-	1 yrs
Bye Week	Week 5	Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Hayden Hurst holds the PPG edge with low-end output at 3.7 points per game. Terrance Ferguson averaged 3.3 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Hayden Hurst or Terrance Ferguson in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Hayden Hurst has the edge at 3.7 PPG compared to Terrance Ferguson's 3.3 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

Should I draft Hayden Hurst or Terrance Ferguson in 2026 fantasy football?▾

Hayden Hurst and Terrance Ferguson come off the board in the same range, so take whichever fits your roster build. Hayden Hurst averaged 3.7 fantasy points per game in 2025 to Terrance Ferguson's 3.3, a gap of under a point. Positional rank, fantasy tier, and bye week are broken down below.

How many fantasy points did Hayden Hurst and Terrance Ferguson average in 2025?▾

Hayden Hurst averaged 3.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Terrance Ferguson averaged 3.3 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 0.4 points per game.

When are Hayden Hurst and Terrance Ferguson's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Hayden Hurst (LAC) has a bye in Week 5, and Terrance Ferguson (LAR) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Hayden Hurst or Terrance Ferguson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Hayden Hurst outscored Terrance Ferguson by 0.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.