Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Jake Ferguson vs Noah GrayWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Jake Ferguson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.7 PPG to Noah Gray's 4.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Jake Ferguson is the better fantasy play this season.

Jake Ferguson is the better play on a neutral week. 8.7 PPG with 601 yards gives a reliable baseline. Noah Gray at 4.6 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Jake Ferguson higher, but do not fade Noah Gray entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEDallas Cowboys#14PPG LEADER

Jake Ferguson

PPG

8.7

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

600

Rec TDs

Targets

102

Bye

Week 14

TEKansas City Chiefs#99

Noah Gray

PPG

4.6

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

385

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Jake Ferguson

Noah Gray

Head to Head

8.7 PPG4.6 PPG

17 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Jake Ferguson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #14 at the position). Noah Gray: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Jake Ferguson is producing at 40% of elite pace and Noah Gray at 21%. That ranking gap means Jake Ferguson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Jake Ferguson vs Noah Gray: The Full Breakdown

If you are choosing between Jake Ferguson and Noah Gray for your lineup, you are not alone. Jake Ferguson finished the 2025 season at 8.7 PPG for the Dallas Cowboys (17 games), and Noah Gray averaged 4.6 for the Kansas City Chiefs (17 games).

That 4.1-point weekly advantage for Jake Ferguson is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Jake Ferguson is the volume tight end in this matchup with 82 receptions for 600 yards, while Noah Gray profiles as a more touchdown-dependent spike play (2 scores on 38 catches). In weeks where Noah Gray finds the end zone he out-scores Jake Ferguson, but the floor gap is real.

Jake Ferguson has his bye in Week 14, and Noah Gray rests in Week 6. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Jake Ferguson is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Noah Gray is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Jake Ferguson (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Noah Gray (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•Jake Ferguson outscored Noah Gray by a projected 70 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Jake Ferguson scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Jake Ferguson saw 102 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jake Ferguson vs Noah Gray: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Jake Ferguson	Noah Gray
PPG (Half-PPR)	8.7	4.6
Games Played	17	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	148	78
Receptions	82	38
Rec/Game	4.8	2.2
Receiving Yards	600	385
Rec Yds/Game	35.3	22.6
Receiving TDs	8	2
Targets	102	50
Target Share/Game	6.0	2.9
Age	27	-
Experience	3 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 14	Week 6

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Jake Ferguson at 8.7 PPG, 4.1 points per game above Noah Gray's 4.6. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jake Ferguson or Noah Gray in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Jake Ferguson has the edge at 8.7 PPG compared to Noah Gray's 4.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jake Ferguson and Noah Gray average in 2025?▾

Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Noah Gray averaged 4.6 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 4.1 points per game.

When are Jake Ferguson and Noah Gray's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Jake Ferguson (DAL) has a bye in Week 14, and Noah Gray (KC) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Jake Ferguson or Noah Gray a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Jake Ferguson outscored Noah Gray by 4.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.