Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Jake Ferguson vs Tetairoa McMillanWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tetairoa McMillan is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 10.5 PPG to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tetairoa McMillan is the better fantasy play this season.

Cross-position decisions depend on league format. In half-PPR, Tetairoa McMillan (10.5 PPG) is the higher-floor play. Jake Ferguson (8.7 PPG) could win a specific week on touchdown variance. For FLEX spots, lean toward the player with the softer defensive matchup that week rather than defaulting to season averages.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEDallas Cowboys#14

Jake Ferguson

PPG

8.7

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

600

Rec TDs

Targets

102

Bye

Week 14

WRCarolina Panthers#26PPG LEADER

Tetairoa McMillan

PPG

10.5

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

1,014

Rec TDs

Targets

122

Bye

Week 5

The Edge Chart

Jake Ferguson

Tetairoa McMillan

Head to Head

8.7 PPG10.5 PPG

17 GP17 GP

Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Jake Ferguson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #14 at the position). Tetairoa McMillan: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR (ranked #26 at the position). Comparing across positions, raw PPG is less useful than positional scarcity. A Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE is harder to replace on waivers than a Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) WR in most league formats.

Jake Ferguson vs Tetairoa McMillan: The Full Breakdown

Comparing Jake Ferguson (TE, Dallas Cowboys) against Tetairoa McMillan (WR, Carolina Panthers) means weighing two different roles in your fantasy lineup. Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 PPG in 2025 over 17 games, while Tetairoa McMillan posted 10.5 PPG across 17 games.

Cross-position FLEX decisions cannot be made on PPG alone. Positional scarcity, matchup quality, floor versus ceiling, and league scoring format all shift the answer. A 14 PPG tight end in a thin TE week is often worth more than a 16 PPG receiver in a deep WR week, because the opportunity cost on the waiver wire is wildly different.

DraftCall's AI engine weighs all of these signals and returns a verdict with clear reasoning, so you are not cross-referencing four different rankings tabs on a Sunday morning.

Jake Ferguson has his bye in Week 14, Tetairoa McMillan in Week 5. Plan your FLEX rotation around those weeks, especially if either player is anchoring your roster.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Jake Ferguson (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tetairoa McMillan (age 23) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

•Tetairoa McMillan outscored Jake Ferguson by a projected 31 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Jake Ferguson scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Tetairoa McMillan saw 122 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
•Tetairoa McMillan is 4 years younger than Jake Ferguson (23 vs 27), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jake Ferguson vs Tetairoa McMillan: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Jake Ferguson	Tetairoa McMillan
PPG (Half-PPR)	8.7	10.5
Games Played	17	17
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	148	179
Receptions	82	70
Rec/Game	4.8	4.1
Receiving Yards	600	1,014
Rec Yds/Game	35.3	59.6
Receiving TDs	8	7
Targets	102	122
Target Share/Game	6.0	7.2
Age	27	23
Experience	3 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 14	Week 5

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Tetairoa McMillan holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 10.5 points per game. Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jake Ferguson or Tetairoa McMillan in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Tetairoa McMillan has the edge at 10.5 PPG compared to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jake Ferguson and Tetairoa McMillan average in 2025?▾

Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Tetairoa McMillan averaged 10.5 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 1.8 points per game.

When are Jake Ferguson and Tetairoa McMillan's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Jake Ferguson (DAL) has a bye in Week 14, and Tetairoa McMillan (CAR) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.