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Head to Head

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Jake Ferguson vs Travis KelceWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Travis Kelce is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 9.1 PPG to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Travis Kelce is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Travis Kelce and Jake Ferguson are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.4-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEDallas Cowboys#14
Jake Ferguson
PPG
8.7
Games
17
Rec
82
Rec Yds
600
Rec TDs
8
Targets
102
Bye
Week 14
TEKansas City Chiefs#10PPG LEADER
Travis Kelce
PPG
9.1
Games
17
Rec
76
Rec Yds
851
Rec TDs
5
Targets
108
Bye
Week 5

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Jake Ferguson
Travis Kelce

Head to Head

8.7 PPG9.1 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 5

Fantasy Tiers

Jake Ferguson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #14 at the position). Travis Kelce: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #10 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Jake Ferguson is producing at 40% of elite pace and Travis Kelce at 41%. That ranking gap means Travis Kelce carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Jake Ferguson vs Travis Kelce: The Full Breakdown

This is a genuine coin flip on paper. Jake Ferguson finished the 2025 season at 8.7 PPG over 17 games with the Dallas Cowboys, while Travis Kelce clocked in at 9.1 across 17 appearances for the Kansas City Chiefs. A 0.4-point gap means any given week could go either way.

With a margin this thin, season averages are not the deciding factor. Weekly variables like opponent defense, game script, and injury status carry more weight than a fraction of a PPG. The right start in Week 6 might be the wrong start in Week 14.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Jake Ferguson had 82 catches for 600 yards; Travis Kelce posted 76 for 851. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

One scheduling note: Jake Ferguson is off Week 14 and Travis Kelce Week 5. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in tight end for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Jake Ferguson (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Travis Kelce (age 36) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

  • Travis Kelce outscored Jake Ferguson by a projected 7 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jake Ferguson scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Travis Kelce saw 108 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
  • Jake Ferguson is 9 years younger than Travis Kelce (27 vs 36), which significantly impacts dynasty league trade value.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jake Ferguson vs Travis Kelce: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJake FergusonTravis Kelce
PPG (Half-PPR)8.79.1
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)148155
Receptions8276
Rec/Game4.84.5
Receiving Yards600851
Rec Yds/Game35.350.1
Receiving TDs85
Targets102108
Target Share/Game6.06.4
Age2736
Experience3 yrs12 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 5

Summary

9.1 PPG for Travis Kelce versus 8.7 for Jake Ferguson in 2025. The baseline favors Travis Kelce, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jake Ferguson or Travis Kelce in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Travis Kelce has the edge at 9.1 PPG compared to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jake Ferguson and Travis Kelce average in 2025?

Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Travis Kelce averaged 9.1 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.4 points per game.

When are Jake Ferguson and Travis Kelce's bye weeks in 2026?

Jake Ferguson (DAL) has a bye in Week 14, and Travis Kelce (KC) has a bye in Week 5. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Jake Ferguson or Travis Kelce a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Travis Kelce outscored Jake Ferguson by 0.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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