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Head to Head

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Jake Ferguson vs Tyler WarrenWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Tyler Warren is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 8.9 PPG to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Tyler Warren is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Tyler Warren and Jake Ferguson are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 0.2-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEDallas Cowboys#14
Jake Ferguson
PPG
8.7
Games
17
Rec
82
Rec Yds
600
Rec TDs
8
Targets
102
Bye
Week 14
TEIndianapolis Colts#12PPG LEADER
Tyler Warren
PPG
8.9
Games
17
Rec
76
Rec Yds
817
Rec TDs
4
Targets
112
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Jake Ferguson
Tyler Warren

Head to Head

8.7 PPG8.9 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Jake Ferguson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #14 at the position). Tyler Warren: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) TE (ranked #12 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Jake Ferguson is producing at 40% of elite pace and Tyler Warren at 40%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Jake Ferguson vs Tyler Warren: The Full Breakdown

The gap between Jake Ferguson and Tyler Warren is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 0.2 PPG in 2025, this is one of those tight end decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 PPG with the Dallas Cowboys across 17 games, and Tyler Warren posted 8.9 with the Indianapolis Colts in 17.

When two tight ends are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Jake Ferguson had 82 catches for 600 yards; Tyler Warren posted 76 for 817. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

Jake Ferguson has his bye in Week 14, and Tyler Warren rests in Week 13. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Jake Ferguson (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Tyler Warren (age 24) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Tyler Warren outscored Jake Ferguson by a projected 3 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jake Ferguson scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Tyler Warren saw 112 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jake Ferguson vs Tyler Warren: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJake FergusonTyler Warren
PPG (Half-PPR)8.78.9
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)148151
Receptions8276
Rec/Game4.84.5
Receiving Yards600817
Rec Yds/Game35.348.1
Receiving TDs84
Targets102112
Target Share/Game6.06.6
Age2724
Experience3 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 13

Summary

8.9 PPG for Tyler Warren versus 8.7 for Jake Ferguson in 2025. The baseline favors Tyler Warren, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jake Ferguson or Tyler Warren in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Tyler Warren has the edge at 8.9 PPG compared to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jake Ferguson and Tyler Warren average in 2025?

Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Tyler Warren averaged 8.9 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 0.2 points per game.

When are Jake Ferguson and Tyler Warren's bye weeks in 2026?

Jake Ferguson (DAL) has a bye in Week 14, and Tyler Warren (IND) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Jake Ferguson or Tyler Warren a better fantasy tight end in 2026?

Tyler Warren outscored Jake Ferguson by 0.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.

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