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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Jake Ferguson vs Zay FlowersWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Zay Flowers is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.8 PPG to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Zay Flowers is the better fantasy play this season.

Cross-position decisions depend on league format. In half-PPR, Zay Flowers (11.8 PPG) is the higher-floor play. Jake Ferguson (8.7 PPG) could win a specific week on touchdown variance. For FLEX spots, lean toward the player with the softer defensive matchup that week rather than defaulting to season averages.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEDallas Cowboys#14
Jake Ferguson
PPG
8.7
Games
17
Rec
82
Rec Yds
600
Rec TDs
8
Targets
102
Bye
Week 14
WRBaltimore Ravens#15PPG LEADER
Zay Flowers
PPG
11.8
Games
17
Rec
86
Rec Yds
1,211
Rec TDs
5
Targets
118
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Jake Ferguson
Zay Flowers

Head to Head

8.7 PPG11.8 PPG
17 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Jake Ferguson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #14 at the position). Zay Flowers: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR (ranked #15 at the position). Comparing across positions, raw PPG is less useful than positional scarcity. A Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE is harder to replace on waivers than a Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) WR in most league formats.

Jake Ferguson vs Zay Flowers: The Full Breakdown

Comparing Jake Ferguson (TE, Dallas Cowboys) against Zay Flowers (WR, Baltimore Ravens) means weighing two different roles in your fantasy lineup. Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 PPG in 2025 over 17 games, while Zay Flowers posted 11.8 PPG across 17 games.

Cross-position FLEX decisions cannot be made on PPG alone. Positional scarcity, matchup quality, floor versus ceiling, and league scoring format all shift the answer. A 14 PPG tight end in a thin TE week is often worth more than a 16 PPG receiver in a deep WR week, because the opportunity cost on the waiver wire is wildly different.

DraftCall's AI engine weighs all of these signals and returns a verdict with clear reasoning, so you are not cross-referencing four different rankings tabs on a Sunday morning.

Jake Ferguson has his bye in Week 14, Zay Flowers in Week 13. Plan your FLEX rotation around those weeks, especially if either player is anchoring your roster.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Zay Flowers at a discount because your league-mates undervalue wide receiver production, do it. Jake Ferguson is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Jake Ferguson (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Zay Flowers (age 25) has years of prime production ahead. Buy-and-hold dynasty asset.

Did You Know?

  • Zay Flowers outscored Jake Ferguson by a projected 53 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Jake Ferguson scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.5 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
  • Zay Flowers saw 118 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Jake Ferguson vs Zay Flowers: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJake FergusonZay Flowers
PPG (Half-PPR)8.711.8
Games Played1717
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)148201
Receptions8286
Rec/Game4.85.1
Receiving Yards6001,211
Rec Yds/Game35.371.2
Receiving TDs85
Targets102118
Target Share/Game6.06.9
Age2725
Experience3 yrs2 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 13

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Zay Flowers holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 11.8 points per game. Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Jake Ferguson or Zay Flowers in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Zay Flowers has the edge at 11.8 PPG compared to Jake Ferguson's 8.7 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Jake Ferguson and Zay Flowers average in 2025?

Jake Ferguson averaged 8.7 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Zay Flowers averaged 11.8 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 3.1 points per game.

When are Jake Ferguson and Zay Flowers's bye weeks in 2026?

Jake Ferguson (DAL) has a bye in Week 14, and Zay Flowers (BAL) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

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