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Head to Head

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Justin Herbert vs Lamar JacksonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Justin Herbert is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 17.9 PPG to Lamar Jackson's 16.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Justin Herbert is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Justin Herbert and Lamar Jackson are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 1.4-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBLos Angeles Chargers#10PPG LEADER
Justin Herbert
PPG
17.9
Games
16
Pass Yds
3,727
Pass TDs
26
Rush Yds
498
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 7
QBBaltimore Ravens#16
Lamar Jackson
PPG
16.5
Games
13
Pass Yds
2,549
Pass TDs
21
Rush Yds
349
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 13

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Justin Herbert
Lamar Jackson

Head to Head

17.9 PPG16.5 PPG
16 GP13 GP
Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 13

Fantasy Tiers

Justin Herbert: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #10 at the position). Lamar Jackson: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #16 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Justin Herbert is producing at 81% of elite pace and Lamar Jackson at 75%. That ranking gap means Justin Herbert carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Justin Herbert vs Lamar Jackson: The Full Breakdown

Justin Herbert (17.9 PPG) and Lamar Jackson (16.5 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two quarterbacks are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Justin Herbert played 16 games for the Los Angeles Chargers; Lamar Jackson suited up 13 times for the Baltimore Ravens.

A 1.4-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Justin Herbert offers meaningful rushing upside with 498 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Lamar Jackson (2549 passing yards, 21 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Justin Herbert sits Week 7 while Lamar Jackson is off Week 13. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Justin Herbert (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Lamar Jackson (age 29) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Justin Herbert outscored Lamar Jackson by a projected 24 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Justin Herbert played 16 games in 2025 compared to Lamar Jackson's 13. That durability gap means Justin Herbert contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Justin Herbert scored 28 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Justin Herbert added 498 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Justin Herbert vs Lamar Jackson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatJustin HerbertLamar Jackson
PPG (Half-PPR)17.916.5
Games Played1613
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)286215
Passing Yards3,7272,549
Passing TDs2621
Pass Yds/Game232.9196.1
Rushing Yards498349
Rushing TDs22
Total TDs2823
TDs/Game1.81.8
Age2829
Experience5 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 7Week 13

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Justin Herbert at 17.9 PPG, 1.4 points per game above Lamar Jackson's 16.5. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Justin Herbert or Lamar Jackson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Justin Herbert has the edge at 17.9 PPG compared to Lamar Jackson's 16.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Justin Herbert and Lamar Jackson average in 2025?

Justin Herbert averaged 17.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Lamar Jackson averaged 16.5 PPG over 13 games. That is a difference of 1.4 points per game.

When are Justin Herbert and Lamar Jackson's bye weeks in 2026?

Justin Herbert (LAC) has a bye in Week 7, and Lamar Jackson (BAL) has a bye in Week 13. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Justin Herbert or Lamar Jackson a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Justin Herbert outscored Lamar Jackson by 1.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.