Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Justin Herbert vs Tyler ShoughWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Justin Herbert is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 17.9 PPG to Tyler Shough's 14.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Justin Herbert is the better fantasy play this season.

Justin Herbert is the better play on a neutral week. 17.9 PPG with 4,225 yards gives a reliable baseline. Tyler Shough at 14.4 PPG is not far behind and could win specific weeks where matchup and game script align. Draft Justin Herbert higher, but do not fade Tyler Shough entirely.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBLos Angeles Chargers#10PPG LEADER

Justin Herbert

PPG

17.9

Games

Pass Yds

3,727

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

498

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 7

QBNew Orleans Saints#24

Tyler Shough

PPG

14.4

Games

Pass Yds

2,384

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

186

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 8

The Edge Chart

Justin Herbert

Tyler Shough

Head to Head

17.9 PPG14.4 PPG

16 GP11 GP

Bye: Week 7Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Justin Herbert: Tier 2 (Strong Starter) QB (ranked #10 at the position). Tyler Shough: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #24 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Justin Herbert is producing at 81% of elite pace and Tyler Shough at 65%. That ranking gap means Justin Herbert carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Justin Herbert vs Tyler Shough: The Full Breakdown

Deciding between Justin Herbert and Tyler Shough is a common lineup dilemma for fantasy managers. The Los Angeles Chargers quarterback put up 17.9 PPG in 2025 over 16 games; Tyler Shough of the New Orleans Saints averaged 14.4 in 11. A 3.5-point margin that could shift on any given week.

The per-game difference of 3.5 points favors Justin Herbert, though savvy managers know that gap can shrink or widen depending on the weekly slate. Defensive matchup, recent scoring trends, and health status all shift the calculus from one quarterback to the other.

Justin Herbert offers meaningful rushing upside with 498 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Tyler Shough (2384 passing yards, 10 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Justin Herbert sits Week 7 while Tyler Shough is off Week 8. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Justin Herbert is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Tyler Shough is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Justin Herbert (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Tyler Shough (age 26) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Justin Herbert outscored Tyler Shough by a projected 59 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Justin Herbert played 16 games in 2025 compared to Tyler Shough's 11. That durability gap means Justin Herbert contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Justin Herbert scored 28 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.8 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
•Justin Herbert added 498 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Justin Herbert vs Tyler Shough: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Justin Herbert	Tyler Shough
PPG (Half-PPR)	17.9	14.4
Games Played	16	11
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	286	158
Passing Yards	3,727	2,384
Passing TDs	26	10
Pass Yds/Game	232.9	216.7
Rushing Yards	498	186
Rushing TDs	2	3
Total TDs	28	13
TDs/Game	1.8	1.2
Age	28	26
Experience	5 yrs	-
Bye Week	Week 7	Week 8

Summary

17.9 PPG for Justin Herbert versus 14.4 for Tyler Shough in 2025. The baseline favors Justin Herbert, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Justin Herbert or Tyler Shough in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Justin Herbert has the edge at 17.9 PPG compared to Tyler Shough's 14.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Justin Herbert and Tyler Shough average in 2025?▾

Justin Herbert averaged 17.9 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 16 games in 2025. Tyler Shough averaged 14.4 PPG over 11 games. That is a difference of 3.5 points per game.

When are Justin Herbert and Tyler Shough's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Justin Herbert (LAC) has a bye in Week 7, and Tyler Shough (NO) has a bye in Week 8. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Justin Herbert or Tyler Shough a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Justin Herbert outscored Tyler Shough by 3.5 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.