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Head to Head

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Kyler Murray vs Russell WilsonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Kyler Murray is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 15.6 PPG to Russell Wilson's 14.2 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Kyler Murray is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, Kyler Murray and Russell Wilson are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 1.4-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBArizona Cardinals#22PPG LEADER
Kyler Murray
PPG
15.6
Games
5
Pass Yds
962
Pass TDs
6
Rush Yds
173
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 14
QBPittsburgh Steelers#99
Russell Wilson
PPG
14.2
Games
14
Pass Yds
2,890
Pass TDs
18
Rush Yds
155
Rush TDs
2
Bye
Week 9

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Kyler Murray
Russell Wilson

Head to Head

15.6 PPG14.2 PPG
5 GP14 GP
Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 9

Fantasy Tiers

Kyler Murray: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #22 at the position). Russell Wilson: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #99 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Kyler Murray is producing at 71% of elite pace and Russell Wilson at 65%. That ranking gap means Kyler Murray carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Kyler Murray vs Russell Wilson: The Full Breakdown

The gap between Kyler Murray and Russell Wilson is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 1.4 PPG in 2025, this is one of those quarterback decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 PPG with the Arizona Cardinals across 5 games, and Russell Wilson posted 14.2 with the Pittsburgh Steelers in 14.

When two quarterbacks are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Kyler Murray threw for 962 yards and 6 touchdowns, while Russell Wilson posted 2890 yards and 18 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Kyler Murray has his bye in Week 14, and Russell Wilson rests in Week 9. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Kyler Murray (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Russell Wilson (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Kyler Murray outscored Russell Wilson by a projected 24 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Russell Wilson played 14 games in 2025 compared to Kyler Murray's 5. That durability gap means Russell Wilson contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Russell Wilson scored 20 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Kyler Murray vs Russell Wilson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatKyler MurrayRussell Wilson
PPG (Half-PPR)15.614.2
Games Played514
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)78199
Passing Yards9622,890
Passing TDs618
Pass Yds/Game192.4206.4
Rushing Yards173155
Rushing TDs12
Total TDs720
TDs/Game1.41.4
Age28-
Experience6 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 14Week 9

Summary

15.6 PPG for Kyler Murray versus 14.2 for Russell Wilson in 2025. The baseline favors Kyler Murray, though the right weekly matchup can flip the script. For a full breakdown that weighs matchup quality, form, and injury reports, try DraftCall's AI comparison engine.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Kyler Murray or Russell Wilson in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Kyler Murray has the edge at 15.6 PPG compared to Russell Wilson's 14.2 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Kyler Murray and Russell Wilson average in 2025?

Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 5 games in 2025. Russell Wilson averaged 14.2 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 1.4 points per game.

When are Kyler Murray and Russell Wilson's bye weeks in 2026?

Kyler Murray (ARI) has a bye in Week 14, and Russell Wilson (PIT) has a bye in Week 9. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Kyler Murray or Russell Wilson a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Kyler Murray outscored Russell Wilson by 1.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.