Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Kyler Murray vs Tua TagovailoaWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Kyler Murray is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 15.6 PPG to Tua Tagovailoa's 11.5 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Kyler Murray is the better fantasy play this season.

Kyler Murray has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 4.1-PPG advantage is real (15.6 to 11.5), and Kyler Murray's 7 touchdowns show scoring upside. Tua Tagovailoa is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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QBArizona Cardinals#22PPG LEADER

Kyler Murray

PPG

15.6

Games

Pass Yds

962

Pass TDs

Rush Yds

173

Rush TDs

Bye

Week 14

QBMiami Dolphins#35

Tua Tagovailoa

PPG

11.5

Games

Pass Yds

2,660

Pass TDs

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Kyler Murray

Tua Tagovailoa

Head to Head

15.6 PPG11.5 PPG

5 GP14 GP

Bye: Week 14Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Kyler Murray: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) QB (ranked #22 at the position). Tua Tagovailoa: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #35 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Kyler Murray is producing at 71% of elite pace and Tua Tagovailoa at 52%. That ranking gap means Kyler Murray carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Kyler Murray vs Tua Tagovailoa: The Full Breakdown

Two quarterbacks who will land on plenty of the same rosters in 2026. Kyler Murray (Arizona Cardinals) finished the 2025 season averaging 15.6 fantasy points per game in 5 games. Tua Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins) came in at 11.5 PPG over 14 games. The gap is real but not insurmountable with the right matchup.

Kyler Murray carries a 4.1-point PPG advantage from the 2025 season. That baseline matters, but it is one input among several. Matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and injury reports move the needle week to week, which is why the best answer changes depending on when you are asking.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Kyler Murray threw for 962 yards and 6 touchdowns, while Tua Tagovailoa posted 2660 yards and 20 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One scheduling note: Kyler Murray is off Week 14 and Tua Tagovailoa Week 6. If these two are on your roster, you will need a fill-in quarterback for both weeks. DraftCall flags bye conflicts so you can plan ahead rather than panic on waivers.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Kyler Murray at a discount because your league-mates undervalue quarterback production, do it. Tua Tagovailoa is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Kyler Murray (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Tua Tagovailoa (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

•Kyler Murray outscored Tua Tagovailoa by a projected 70 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Tua Tagovailoa played 14 games in 2025 compared to Kyler Murray's 5. That durability gap means Tua Tagovailoa contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Tua Tagovailoa scored 20 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.4 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Kyler Murray vs Tua Tagovailoa: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Kyler Murray	Tua Tagovailoa
PPG (Half-PPR)	15.6	11.5
Games Played	5	14
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	78	161
Passing Yards	962	2,660
Passing TDs	6	20
Pass Yds/Game	192.4	190.0
Rushing Yards	173	43
Rushing TDs	1	0
Total TDs	7	20
TDs/Game	1.4	1.4
Age	28	28
Experience	6 yrs	5 yrs
Bye Week	Week 14	Week 6

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Kyler Murray holds the PPG edge with solid output at 15.6 points per game. Tua Tagovailoa averaged 11.5 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Kyler Murray or Tua Tagovailoa in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Kyler Murray has the edge at 15.6 PPG compared to Tua Tagovailoa's 11.5 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Kyler Murray and Tua Tagovailoa average in 2025?▾

Kyler Murray averaged 15.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 5 games in 2025. Tua Tagovailoa averaged 11.5 PPG over 14 games. That is a difference of 4.1 points per game.

When are Kyler Murray and Tua Tagovailoa's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Kyler Murray (ARI) has a bye in Week 14, and Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) has a bye in Week 6. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Kyler Murray or Tua Tagovailoa a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?▾

Kyler Murray outscored Tua Tagovailoa by 4.1 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.