Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Noah Gray vs T.J. HockensonWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

T.J. Hockenson is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 5.8 PPG to Noah Gray's 4.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

T.J. Hockenson is the better fantasy play this season.

Statistically, T.J. Hockenson and Noah Gray are interchangeable on a season-long basis. The 1.2-PPG gap is one broken play per game. For weekly start/sit calls, check opponent defense and recent form before defaulting to the name.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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TEKansas City Chiefs#99

Noah Gray

PPG

4.6

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

385

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

TEMinnesota Vikings#30PPG LEADER

T.J. Hockenson

PPG

5.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

438

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

The Edge Chart

Noah Gray

T.J. Hockenson

Head to Head

4.6 PPG5.8 PPG

17 GP15 GP

Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 6

Fantasy Tiers

Noah Gray: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). T.J. Hockenson: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) TE (ranked #30 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Noah Gray is producing at 21% of elite pace and T.J. Hockenson at 26%. That ranking gap means T.J. Hockenson carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Noah Gray vs T.J. Hockenson: The Full Breakdown

The gap between Noah Gray and T.J. Hockenson is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 1.2 PPG in 2025, this is one of those tight end decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. Noah Gray averaged 4.6 PPG with the Kansas City Chiefs across 17 games, and T.J. Hockenson posted 5.8 with the Minnesota Vikings in 15.

When two tight ends are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Noah Gray had 38 catches for 385 yards; T.J. Hockenson posted 51 for 438. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

Both share a Week 6 bye, which matters for roster construction. If you are stacking tight ends this deep on your bench, plan your replacement tight end early.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Noah Gray (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. T.J. Hockenson (age 28) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value.

Did You Know?

•T.J. Hockenson outscored Noah Gray by a projected 20 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Noah Gray played 17 games in 2025 compared to T.J. Hockenson's 15. That durability gap means Noah Gray contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•T.J. Hockenson scored 3 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•T.J. Hockenson saw 66 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.
•Both players share a Week 6 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Noah Gray vs T.J. Hockenson: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Noah Gray	T.J. Hockenson
PPG (Half-PPR)	4.6	5.8
Games Played	17	15
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	78	87
Receptions	38	51
Rec/Game	2.2	3.4
Receiving Yards	385	438
Rec Yds/Game	22.6	29.2
Receiving TDs	2	3
Targets	50	66
Target Share/Game	2.9	4.4
Age	-	28
Experience	-	6 yrs
Bye Week	Week 6	Week 6

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor T.J. Hockenson at 5.8 PPG, 1.2 points per game above Noah Gray's 4.6. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Noah Gray or T.J. Hockenson in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, T.J. Hockenson has the edge at 5.8 PPG compared to Noah Gray's 4.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Noah Gray and T.J. Hockenson average in 2025?▾

Noah Gray averaged 4.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. T.J. Hockenson averaged 5.8 PPG over 15 games. That is a difference of 1.2 points per game.

Do Noah Gray and T.J. Hockenson share a bye week?▾

Yes, both Noah Gray and T.J. Hockenson share a Week 6 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at tight end for that week.

Is Noah Gray or T.J. Hockenson a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

T.J. Hockenson outscored Noah Gray by 1.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.