Head to Head

Updated June 3, 2026 from live stats

Noah Gray vs Zach ErtzWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Zach Ertz is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 7.8 PPG to Noah Gray's 4.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Zach Ertz is the better fantasy play this season.

Zach Ertz has the edge, but it is not a runaway. The 3.2-PPG advantage is real (7.8 to 4.6), and Zach Ertz's 4 touchdowns show scoring upside. Noah Gray is the buy-low candidate if recent production has dipped, because the talent gap is smaller than the numbers suggest.

Moderate confidence: stats favor the leader, but matchup variance could flip this weekly.

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TEKansas City Chiefs#99

Noah Gray

PPG

4.6

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

385

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 6

TEWashington Commanders#20PPG LEADER

Zach Ertz

PPG

7.8

Games

Rec

Rec Yds

504

Rec TDs

Targets

Bye

Week 7

The Edge Chart

Noah Gray

Zach Ertz

Head to Head

4.6 PPG7.8 PPG

17 GP13 GP

Bye: Week 6Bye: Week 7

Fantasy Tiers

Noah Gray: Tier 5 (Deep League) TE (ranked #99 at the position). Zach Ertz: Tier 3 (Flex/Starter) TE (ranked #20 at the position). Among the top 30 tight ends this season, Noah Gray is producing at 21% of elite pace and Zach Ertz at 35%. That ranking gap means Zach Ertz carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Noah Gray vs Zach Ertz: The Full Breakdown

Noah Gray and Zach Ertz are both viable fantasy tight ends heading into 2026, but their 2025 production tells two different stories. Noah Gray averaged 4.6 PPG across 17 games with the Kansas City Chiefs, while Zach Ertz posted 7.8 PPG in 13 appearances for the Washington Commanders.

A 3.2-PPG gap gives Zach Ertz the edge on paper, but paper does not account for Thursday night matchups, weather games, or a star defender returning from injury. The real question is not who was better in 2025, but who is the better start this specific week.

Both see steady target volume for the tight end position. Noah Gray had 38 catches for 385 yards; Zach Ertz posted 50 for 504. At a position where most starters barely clear 7 PPG, this class of tight end is where the fantasy advantage lives week to week.

Noah Gray has his bye in Week 6, and Zach Ertz rests in Week 7. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at tight end for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

If you can acquire Zach Ertz at a discount because your league-mates undervalue tight end production, do it. Noah Gray is a reasonable sell-high candidate if his recent games have spiked above his season average. Dynasty outlook: Noah Gray (age 27) is in the middle of his productive window. Stable dynasty value. Zach Ertz (age 35) is in the later years of production. Still a redraft asset, but dynasty value is declining.

Did You Know?

•Zach Ertz outscored Noah Gray by a projected 54 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
•Noah Gray played 17 games in 2025 compared to Zach Ertz's 13. That durability gap means Noah Gray contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
•Zach Ertz scored 4 total touchdowns in 2025 (0.3 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at tight end.
•Zach Ertz saw 72 targets in 2025. Target volume is the single strongest predictor of weekly PPR production at the tight end position.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Noah Gray vs Zach Ertz: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
Stat	Noah Gray	Zach Ertz
PPG (Half-PPR)	4.6	7.8
Games Played	17	13
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)	78	101
Receptions	38	50
Rec/Game	2.2	3.8
Receiving Yards	385	504
Rec Yds/Game	22.6	38.8
Receiving TDs	2	4
Targets	50	72
Target Share/Game	2.9	5.5
Age	-	35
Experience	-	12 yrs
Bye Week	Week 6	Week 7

Summary

Zach Ertz outscored Noah Gray by 3.2 PPG in 2025 (7.8 to 4.6). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Noah Gray or Zach Ertz in fantasy football?▾

Based on 2025 season averages, Zach Ertz has the edge at 7.8 PPG compared to Noah Gray's 4.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Noah Gray and Zach Ertz average in 2025?▾

Noah Gray averaged 4.6 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 17 games in 2025. Zach Ertz averaged 7.8 PPG over 13 games. That is a difference of 3.2 points per game.

When are Noah Gray and Zach Ertz's bye weeks in 2026?▾

Noah Gray (KC) has a bye in Week 6, and Zach Ertz (WAS) has a bye in Week 7. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Noah Gray or Zach Ertz a better fantasy tight end in 2026?▾

Zach Ertz outscored Noah Gray by 3.2 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.