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Head to Head

Updated from live stats

Patrick Mahomes vs Sam DarnoldWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Patrick Mahomes is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 20.4 PPG to Sam Darnold's 13.8 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Patrick Mahomes is the better fantasy play this season.

The gap here is significant. Patrick Mahomes outscored Sam Darnold by 6.6 PPG in 2025 with 27 total touchdowns. If both are on your board, Patrick Mahomes is the clear pick. Sam Darnold profiles as a matchup-dependent quarterback who can spike but lacks the consistent floor.

High confidence: stats strongly favor the leader, and the gap is unlikely to close on matchup alone.

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QBKansas City Chiefs#4PPG LEADER
Patrick Mahomes
PPG
20.4
Games
14
Pass Yds
3,587
Pass TDs
22
Rush Yds
422
Rush TDs
5
Bye
Week 5
QBSeattle Seahawks#27
Sam Darnold
PPG
13.8
Games
17
Pass Yds
4,048
Pass TDs
25
Bye
Week 11

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Patrick Mahomes
Sam Darnold

Head to Head

20.4 PPG13.8 PPG
14 GP17 GP
Bye: Week 5Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Patrick Mahomes: Tier 1 (Elite) QB (ranked #4 at the position). Sam Darnold: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #27 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Patrick Mahomes is producing at 93% of elite pace and Sam Darnold at 63%. That ranking gap means Patrick Mahomes carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Patrick Mahomes vs Sam Darnold: The Full Breakdown

Patrick Mahomes and Sam Darnold are at different tiers heading into 2026. The Kansas City Chiefs quarterback averaged 20.4 PPG in 2025, a full 6.6 points per game ahead of Sam Darnold's 13.8 with the Seattle Seahawks. That kind of gap doesn't close on matchup alone.

That 6.6-point weekly advantage for Patrick Mahomes is meaningful but not automatic. Fantasy football is a week-to-week sport, and the answer to "who should I start" often changes based on opponent, recent form, and game environment. Season averages set the baseline; weekly context makes the call.

Patrick Mahomes offers meaningful rushing upside with 422 yards on the ground in 2025, which separates his floor from a pocket passer like Sam Darnold (4048 passing yards, 25 touchdowns). In games where the passing matchup looks ugly, that rushing production can be the entire difference on a start/sit call.

Patrick Mahomes has his bye in Week 5, and Sam Darnold rests in Week 11. Managers rostering both need waiver wire depth at quarterback for those two weeks, and that is exactly the kind of planning DraftCall's matchup engine surfaces automatically so you are not scrambling on a Sunday morning.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Patrick Mahomes is a buy in trades where the other manager is chasing upside at a different position. Sam Darnold is a hold unless you can flip him for a positional upgrade elsewhere on your roster. Dynasty outlook: Patrick Mahomes (age 30) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Sam Darnold (age 28) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Patrick Mahomes outscored Sam Darnold by a projected 112 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Sam Darnold played 17 games in 2025 compared to Patrick Mahomes's 14. That durability gap means Sam Darnold contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Patrick Mahomes scored 27 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.9 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Patrick Mahomes added 422 rushing yards in 2025, which historically correlates with a higher fantasy floor in bad passing matchups.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Patrick Mahomes vs Sam Darnold: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatPatrick MahomesSam Darnold
PPG (Half-PPR)20.413.8
Games Played1417
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)286235
Passing Yards3,5874,048
Passing TDs2225
Pass Yds/Game256.2238.1
Rushing Yards42295
Rushing TDs50
Total TDs2725
TDs/Game1.91.5
Age3028
Experience8 yrs7 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 5Week 11

Summary

The 2025 numbers favor Patrick Mahomes at 20.4 PPG, 6.6 points per game above Sam Darnold's 13.8. But season stats only tell part of the story. DraftCall's AI factors in weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status to give you a verdict that updates with the latest data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Patrick Mahomes or Sam Darnold in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Patrick Mahomes has the edge at 20.4 PPG compared to Sam Darnold's 13.8 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Patrick Mahomes and Sam Darnold average in 2025?

Patrick Mahomes averaged 20.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 14 games in 2025. Sam Darnold averaged 13.8 PPG over 17 games. That is a difference of 6.6 points per game.

When are Patrick Mahomes and Sam Darnold's bye weeks in 2026?

Patrick Mahomes (KC) has a bye in Week 5, and Sam Darnold (SEA) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Patrick Mahomes or Sam Darnold a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Patrick Mahomes outscored Sam Darnold by 6.6 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.