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Davis Mills vs Mac JonesWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Mac Jones is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.8 PPG to Davis Mills's 11.4 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Mac Jones is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Mac Jones edges Davis Mills by 0.4 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Mac Jones goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBHouston Texans#36
Davis Mills
PPG
11.4
Games
6
Pass Yds
915
Pass TDs
5
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 8
QBSan Francisco 49ers#33PPG LEADER
Mac Jones
PPG
11.8
Games
11
Pass Yds
2,151
Pass TDs
13
Bye
Week 8

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Davis Mills
Mac Jones

Head to Head

11.4 PPG11.8 PPG
6 GP11 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 8

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Mac Jones: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #33 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Mac Jones at 54%. These two are close enough in the rankings that weekly matchup should dictate your start.

Davis Mills vs Mac Jones: The Full Breakdown

The gap between Davis Mills and Mac Jones is smaller than most fantasy managers think. Separated by just 0.4 PPG in 2025, this is one of those quarterback decisions that comes down to context, not name recognition. Davis Mills averaged 11.4 PPG with the Houston Texans across 6 games, and Mac Jones posted 11.8 with the San Francisco 49ers in 11.

When two quarterbacks are separated by less than two points per game, the decision shifts to weekly context. Who has the softer defense? Who is trending up over the last month? Which team is projected for more total points? Those are the tiebreakers that actually matter.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Davis Mills threw for 915 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Mac Jones posted 2151 yards and 13 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

One thing to note: both players share a Week 8 bye. That means you need a backup plan at quarterback for that week, especially if one of these two is your starter.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Mac Jones (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons.

Did You Know?

  • Mac Jones outscored Davis Mills by a projected 7 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Mac Jones played 11 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Mac Jones contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Mac Jones scored 13 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.2 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.
  • Both players share a Week 8 bye. If you roster both, you will need a replacement at the position that week.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Davis Mills vs Mac Jones: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDavis MillsMac Jones
PPG (Half-PPR)11.411.8
Games Played611
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)68130
Passing Yards9152,151
Passing TDs513
Pass Yds/Game152.5195.5
Rushing Yards6060
Rushing TDs10
Total TDs613
TDs/Game1.01.2
Age2727
Experience4 yrs4 yrs
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 8

Summary

Mac Jones outscored Davis Mills by 0.4 PPG in 2025 (11.8 to 11.4). That production gap is the baseline, but weekly context shifts the answer. DraftCall analyzes matchup difficulty, scoring trends, and health data to deliver a clear start or sit recommendation backed by real reasoning.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Mac Jones in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Mac Jones has the edge at 11.8 PPG compared to Davis Mills's 11.4 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Mac Jones average in 2025?

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Mac Jones averaged 11.8 PPG over 11 games. That is a difference of 0.4 points per game.

Do Davis Mills and Mac Jones share a bye week?

Yes, both Davis Mills and Mac Jones share a Week 8 bye in 2026. If you roster both, you will need a fill-in at quarterback for that week.

Is Davis Mills or Mac Jones a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Mac Jones outscored Davis Mills by 0.4 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.