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Head to Head

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Davis Mills vs Shedeur SandersWho should you start in 2026 fantasy football?

Davis Mills is the better fantasy start for 2026, averaging 11.4 PPG to Shedeur Sanders's 10.6 in 2025. Full head to head breakdown below.

The Bottom Line

Davis Mills is the better fantasy play this season.

This one is genuinely close. Davis Mills edges Shedeur Sanders by 0.8 PPG, but both are in the same production tier. The decision comes down to weekly matchup, not season-long resume. If you are choosing between them in a draft, Davis Mills goes slightly earlier based on volume, but do not reach for the difference.

Low confidence: the production gap is narrow enough that weekly context matters more than the season line.

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QBHouston Texans#36PPG LEADER
Davis Mills
PPG
11.4
Games
6
Pass Yds
915
Pass TDs
5
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 8
QBCleveland Browns#40
Shedeur Sanders
PPG
10.6
Games
8
Pass Yds
1,400
Pass TDs
7
Rush Yds
169
Rush TDs
1
Bye
Week 11

The Edge Chart

VolumeEfficiencyTD UpsideFloorCeilingDurability
Davis Mills
Shedeur Sanders

Head to Head

11.4 PPG10.6 PPG
6 GP8 GP
Bye: Week 8Bye: Week 11

Fantasy Tiers

Davis Mills: Tier 4 (Bench/Bye Fill) QB (ranked #36 at the position). Shedeur Sanders: Tier 5 (Deep League) QB (ranked #40 at the position). Among the top 32 quarterbacks this season, Davis Mills is producing at 52% of elite pace and Shedeur Sanders at 48%. That ranking gap means Davis Mills carries more trade value and a higher draft cost in 2026.

Davis Mills vs Shedeur Sanders: The Full Breakdown

Davis Mills (11.4 PPG) and Shedeur Sanders (10.6 PPG) produced nearly identical fantasy numbers in 2025. When two quarterbacks are this close on a per-game basis, the weekly matchup matters more than the season-long resume. Davis Mills played 6 games for the Houston Texans; Shedeur Sanders suited up 8 times for the Cleveland Browns.

A 0.8-point per-game gap over a full season is essentially noise. It means one extra catch, one fewer target, or a single broken play away from flipping the script. For a weekly start/sit call between these two, matchup analysis matters far more than the season line.

Both lean on arm talent and offensive scheme as traditional pocket passers. Davis Mills threw for 915 yards and 5 touchdowns, while Shedeur Sanders posted 1400 yards and 7 scores. Volume, red zone efficiency, and game script are the key week-to-week differentiators when neither carries rushing upside.

Bye weeks matter for roster construction: Davis Mills sits Week 8 while Shedeur Sanders is off Week 11. If you are deciding between the two as a season-long roster hold, the staggered byes actually work in your favor.

Trade Value + Dynasty Outlook

Both are in a similar trade value range. A straight swap would be fair in most leagues, with the tiebreaker going to whichever manager values schedule or bye week more. Dynasty outlook: Davis Mills (age 27) is in his prime window. Peak production now with steady value for the next 3-4 seasons. Shedeur Sanders (age 24) is in the early stages of his career with 5+ years of starter-caliber upside. His dynasty value is rising.

Did You Know?

  • Davis Mills outscored Shedeur Sanders by a projected 14 total fantasy points over a full 17-game season.
  • Shedeur Sanders played 8 games in 2025 compared to Davis Mills's 6. That durability gap means Shedeur Sanders contributed more total fantasy points even before you look at per-game averages.
  • Shedeur Sanders scored 8 total touchdowns in 2025 (1.0 per game), making him one of the more reliable scoring options at quarterback.

Detailed Stat Breakdown

Davis Mills vs Shedeur Sanders: 2025 fantasy football stat comparison in the half-PPR scoring format.
StatDavis MillsShedeur Sanders
PPG (Half-PPR)11.410.6
Games Played68
Total Fantasy Pts (est.)6885
Passing Yards9151,400
Passing TDs57
Pass Yds/Game152.5175.0
Rushing Yards60169
Rushing TDs11
Total TDs68
TDs/Game1.01.0
Age2724
Experience4 yrs-
Bye WeekWeek 8Week 11

Summary

Based on 2025 production, Davis Mills holds the PPG edge with serviceable output at 11.4 points per game. Shedeur Sanders averaged 10.6 PPG. Season averages are a starting point, not the final word. For a full AI analysis factoring matchup quality, recent form, injury impact, and game script, download DraftCall and get a verdict backed by real data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Should I start Davis Mills or Shedeur Sanders in fantasy football?

Based on 2025 season averages, Davis Mills has the edge at 11.4 PPG compared to Shedeur Sanders's 10.6 PPG. However, the best start depends on weekly matchup, recent form, and injury status. DraftCall's app provides real-time AI-powered verdicts that factor in all of these variables.

How many fantasy points did Davis Mills and Shedeur Sanders average in 2025?

Davis Mills averaged 11.4 fantasy points per game (half-PPR) across 6 games in 2025. Shedeur Sanders averaged 10.6 PPG over 8 games. That is a difference of 0.8 points per game.

When are Davis Mills and Shedeur Sanders's bye weeks in 2026?

Davis Mills (HOU) has a bye in Week 8, and Shedeur Sanders (CLE) has a bye in Week 11. Plan your roster accordingly if you are carrying both players.

Is Davis Mills or Shedeur Sanders a better fantasy quarterback in 2026?

Davis Mills outscored Shedeur Sanders by 0.8 PPG in 2025, which gives him the edge heading into 2026. For a week-by-week verdict, DraftCall's AI analyzes matchup quality and recent trends in real time.